Limits of (blog) growth

Standard

How many daily visitors can a haphazardly written blog on computer science hope to get? The answer seems to be about 100 (see graph).

Blog daily visitors

I used a cubic spline and a logarithmic scale to plot this to diminish the impact of the two really big stories – a post on P=NP in early 2011 and on 11-Venns in August 2012, and the picture seems clear enough – significant growth in underlying visitors ended about a year ago and we are heading asymptotically for somewhere just over 100.